China's Employment Structure Evolution and Motivation Decomposition:Analysis Based on Input-Occupancy-Output Model

Abstract

Abstract:

This paper studies evolution and motivations of employment in China in 2002-2012, by using Structural Decomposition Anal-ysis(SDA)based on input-occupancy-output technology. It reveals the trend of China's total employment and driving forces in China's different industries. The results show that China's total employment grew by 4.7% in 10 years. Employment structure changed a lot as employment transferred from agriculture to the second and third industries. Change in consumption, investment, export, import, employ-ment coefficient and technology made employment rise by 74.3%, 60.6%, 27.6%,-25.2%,-143.7% and 10.4% respectively. Con-sumption growth was the first factor of promoting employment, mainly to promote employment in labor-intensive manufacture and knowl-edge-intensive service industry. Increasing investment created more employment opportunities in construction, resource-intensive, capital-intensive and technology-intensive industries. International trade promoted employment in labor-intensive and technology-intensive manufacture and service industries. Although technology change decreased the total employment, especially in agriculture by employment coefficient change, that in knowledge-intensive service increased a lot due to technology improvement in intermediate use network.

Key words: employment structure, input-occupancy-output technology, Structural Decomposition Analysis, technology change

Li Fangyi, Wang Juan, Li Lanlan, Tang Zhipeng. China's Employment Structure Evolution and Motivation Decomposition:Analysis Based on Input-Occupancy-Output Model[J]. , 2018, 30(5): 119-126.

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