›› 2018, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (1): 14-23.

Previous Articles     Next Articles

Study on the Interaction Mechanism of Economic Growth and Inflation under the Background of Economic Financialization

Lu Xiaolin1,2,3, Guo Kun1,2, Dong Zhi2   

  1. 1. CAS Research Center on Fictitious Economy & Data Science, Beijing 100190;
    2. School of Economics and Management, UCAS, Beijing 100190;
    3. Post-doctoral Research Center of Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Beijing 100032
  • Received:2015-11-20 Online:2018-01-28 Published:2018-01-24

Abstract:

With the rapid development of fictitious economy, the financialization degree can no longer be ignored for its influence on the relationship between economic growth and inflation. In consideration of the evolvement from the period of industrialization to economic financialization of the U.S., through the Bayesian network learning of rolling time window, we concentrate on the dynamic interaction mechanism between economic growth and inflation under the background of economic financialization. It turns out that the interactive relationship between fictitious economy and real economy is becoming closer and closer. Furthermore, in the order of bond, stock and real estate market, indicators related to fictitious economy gradually enter into the transmission mechanism of economic growth and inflation.

Key words: economic growth, inflation, economic financialization, Bayesian network