管理评论

管理评论 ›› 2025, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (4): 226-238.

• 物流与供应链管理 • 上一篇    

安全稳定水平提升下考虑努力程度的先进制造产业链供应链动态策略研究

杨丽1, 陈雪静1, 王晓平1, 赵志彪2   

  1. 1. 北京物资学院物流学院, 北京 101149;
    2. 中国兵器工业规划研究院投资规划研究所, 北京 100070
  • 收稿日期:2022-12-05 发布日期:2025-05-06
  • 作者简介:杨丽（通讯作者），北京物资学院物流学院副教授，硕士生导师，博士；陈雪静，北京物资学院物流学院硕士研究生；王晓平，北京物资学院物流学院教授，硕士生导师，博士；赵志彪，中国兵器工业规划研究院投资规划研究所总工程师，正高级工程师。
  • 基金资助:
    教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目(22YJA630022)。

Study on the Supply Chain Dynamics Strategy of Advanced Manufacturing Chain Considering the Level of Effort under the Improvement of Security and Stability Level

Yang Li1, Chen Xuejing1, Wang Xiaoping1, Zhao Zhibiao2   

  1. 1. School of Logistics, Beijing Wu Zi University, Beijing 101149;
    2. Investment Planning Research Institute, China Norinco Group Planning and Research Institute, Beijing 100070
  • Received:2022-12-05 Published:2025-05-06

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摘要： 在错综复杂的国际国内环境下，先进制造业面临着由于缺芯而断链、自主创新薄弱而弱链等不安全不稳定问题。本文从产业链供应链视角，采用微分博弈对由供应商、先进制造商和销售商组成的三级供应链，分别探讨Nash模式、Stackelberg模式与合作联盟模式下，三边提升努力程度对先进制造产业链供应链安全稳定水平、利润、相关策略的影响。研究结果表明，努力程度越大，先进制造产业链供应链安全稳定水平越高，而努力程度又受市场敏感系数、安全稳定水平影响系数、单位利润和努力成本系数影响；安全稳定水平越高，先进制造产业链供应链最优利润越高；先进制造商在保障一定利润条件下才会分担上下游开展安全稳定活动的成本，分担成本比例与先进制造商利润成正比；合作联盟是先进制造产业链供应链安全稳定水平提升的最佳模式。

关键词: 安全稳定水平, 三边努力程度, 先进制造产业链供应链, 微分博弈

Abstract: Under the intricate international and domestic environment, advanced manufacturing industry faces insecurity and instability problems such as broken chain due to lack of core and weak chain due to weak independent innovation. From the perspective of industry chain supply chain, this paper adopts differential game on the three-level supply chain consisting of suppliers, advanced manufacturers and sellers, and explores the impact of trilateral enhancement of security and stability efforts on the security and stability level, profit and related strategies of the advanced manufacturing industry chain supply chain under Nash model, Stackelberg model and cooperative alliance model, respectively. The results show that the higher the level of effort, the higher the security and stability level of the advanced manufacturing chain supply chain, and the level of effort is influenced by the market sensitivity coefficient, security and stability level influence coefficient, unit profit and effort cost coefficient; the higher the security and stability level, the higher the optimal profit of the advanced manufacturing chain supply chain; the advanced manufacturers will share the cost of security and stability activities upstream and downstream only under the condition of guaranteeing certain profit, and the proportion of cost sharing is proportional to the profit of advanced manufacturers; cooperative alliance is the best mode to improve the security and stability level of the supply chain of advanced manufacturing industry chain.

Key words: security and stability level, trilateral effort level, advanced manufacturing chain supply chain, differential game