发审制度、交易机制与盈余信息的债券定价功能

›› 2016, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (12): 14-29.

发审制度、交易机制与盈余信息的债券定价功能

吕怀立¹, 钟宇翔², 李婉丽^2,3

1. 上海大学管理学院, 上海 200444;
2. 西安交通大学管理学院, 西安 710049;
3. 上海对外经贸大学会计学院, 上海 201620

收稿日期:2015-08-18 出版日期:2016-12-28 发布日期:2017-03-15
作者简介:吕怀立,上海大学管理学院讲师,硕士生导师,博士;钟宇翔,西安交通大学管理学院博士研究生;李婉丽,西安交通大学管理学院教授,博士生导师,上海对外经贸大学会计学院教授。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金青年项目（71202043）；上海市哲学社会科学规划项目（2016EGL003）；国家社科基金项目（10BJL014）；教育部人文社会科学研究西部和边疆地区青年基金项目（14XJC79001）。

Issuance Systems, Trading Mechanisms and Earning Information in Bond Pricing

Lyu Huaili¹, Zhong Yuxiang², Li Wanli^2,3

1. School of Management, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444;
2. School of Management, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049;
3. Accounting School, Shanghai University of International Business and Economics, Shanghai 201620

Received:2015-08-18 Online:2016-12-28 Published:2017-03-15

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

基于我国债券市场特殊的发审制度和交易机制，本文分别从发行抑价和市后表现两个视角考察了盈余信息（包括盈余持续性和盈余信息的季度变化）在非金融上市公司债券定价中的作用。研究发现：在一级发行市场，盈余持续性具有定价功能，表现为发债企业的盈余持续性越高，债券的发行抑价水平越低；在二级交易市场，盈余信息的季度变化同样具有定价功能，表现为发债企业的季度增量盈余和季度增量现金流与投资者累计异常超额收益呈正相关，而季度增量应计与累计异常超额收益呈负相关。进一步研究发现，盈余信息的定价功能在不同的发审制度和交易机制下差异显著，具体而言：盈余持续性在“注册制”（相对于“核准制”）的发审制度下以及盈余信息的变化在“公开竞价”（相对于“集中询价”）的交易机制下的定价功能更强。

关键词: 发行抑价, 市后表现, 盈余持续性, 发审制度, 交易机制

Abstract:

This paper documents how earnings persistence and the change of earnings affect bond pricing. We find that earnings persistence is negatively related to the underpricing of initial public offerings (IPOs) in the corporate bond market. In bond trading market, quarterly incremental earnings and cash flows are positively related to cumulated abnormal returns while quarterly incremental accruals are negatively related to cumulated abnormal returns. In addition, the relation is more significant in bonds audited by registration system than it is in bonds audited by approval system, indicating that the registration system is more efficient in bond pricing. These relations are more significant under public-bidding system than they are under market-maker system, implying that the public-bidding system is more efficient than market-maker system in bond pricing.

Key words: IPOs underpricing, market performance, earnings persistence, securities issuance systems, trading mechanisms

吕怀立, 钟宇翔, 李婉丽. 发审制度、交易机制与盈余信息的债券定价功能[J]. , 2016, 28(12): 14-29.

Lyu Huaili, Zhong Yuxiang, Li Wanli. Issuance Systems, Trading Mechanisms and Earning Information in Bond Pricing[J]. , 2016, 28(12): 14-29.

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