›› 2018, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (4): 3-11.

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A Simulation Study of the Development of China's Trust Industry Based on System Dynamics

Li Zimin1, Zhong Conglin1, Liu Jiajia1, Dong Zhi1, Fang Yong2, Dong Jichang1   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190;
    2. Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190
  • Received:2015-04-03 Online:2018-04-28 Published:2018-04-22

Abstract:

This paper makes a simulation study of the development of China's trust industry. A system dynamics model is constructed based on the analysis of the key factors affecting the development of trust industry as well as the trust industry's socio-economic effects. Then simulation analysis is made to explore the impacts of different policies, i.e. monetary policies, net capital restriction and person income taxes, on the size of the total assets and business structure of trust industry. It is found that monetary policies would influence the size of total assets but have little effects on the business structure. And the net capital restriction has obvious effects on the size of total assets, while the personal income taxes would affect the business structure of China's trust industry.

Key words: trust industry, policy analysis, system dynamics, simulation