Management Review ›› 2023, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (4): 42-54.

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How does Income Aspirations Affect Farmers’ Agricultural Productive Borrowing Behaviors: Empirical Evidence Based on the Tracing Data of Two Whole Villages

You Liang1, Shen Zhouyao1, Zhang Heng2   

  1. 1. School of International Trade, Shanxi University of Finance and Economics, Taiyuan 030006;
    2. Institute of Finance & Banking, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100710
  • Received:2022-03-29 Online:2023-04-28 Published:2023-06-01

Abstract: Based on the tracking survey data of 414 households in two villages in Fuxian County, Shaanxi Province in 2016 and 2021, this paper uses the double-hurdle model to explore the impact of household decision makers’ income aspirations on farmers’ agricultural productive borrowing behaviors. The results show that, when the income aspirations index increases by one standard deviation, the amount of agricultural production borrowing funds of farmers will increase by 23.3%. This conclusion is still valid after a series of robustness tests. Heterogeneity analysis shows that income aspirations have a more significant promoting effect on the agricultural productive borrowing behavior of young age group farmers, as well as the farmers with more household assets or at lower education level. Mechanism analysis shows that risk preference plays a positive role in moderating the mentioned impact of income aspirations. In addition, for the families investing loans mainly in agricultural production, their family decision makers, if aspiring for higher income, are more inclined to borrow from both formal and informal financial institutions, rather than only from formal financial institutions.

Key words: agricultural productive borrowing, income aspirations, double hurdle model, whole village