Evolutionary Characteristics of Domestic Technological Comparative Advantage in China: Evidence from the Perspective of Technological Regime

Abstract

Abstract:

Based on the IPC class level data of domestic and foreign invention patent application in 1987-2015, this paper uses Markov chains to investigate the evolutionary characteristics of Chinese technological comparative advantage from the perspective of technological regime. The results show that, on the whole, the persistence probability of Chinese technological comparative advantage in two consecutive years is much higher, showing a certain "Matthew effect", while the mobility of Chinese technological comparative advantage occurs mainly in the adjacent two states. From the perspective of technological regime, we find that in technology fields with lower appropriability of foreign innovation and smaller gap between initial foreign and domestic knowledge stock, China is more likely to move from comparative disadvantage to comparative advantage states, and maintain the existing comparative advantage at the same time. And in technology fields with lower cumulativeness of technological innovation, and higher technological opportunities and uncertainty of technological trajectory, China is more likely to avoid being locked in the comparative advantage trap, and seize the window of opportunity to change the states of technological comparative advantage.

Key words: technological regime, technology field, comparative advantage, evolutionary characteristics, Markov chains

Ma Rongkang, Liu Fengchao. Evolutionary Characteristics of Domestic Technological Comparative Advantage in China: Evidence from the Perspective of Technological Regime[J]. , 2019, 31(5): 118-127.

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