增量配电网改革背景下居民用电诉求研究——MRDE模型初探

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 传统观点认为居民对于任何形式的电价上涨均持反对态度。本文通过细化研究居民具体的用电诉求及其相互间的作用关系，为解决我国当前增量配电网改革主要困难之一的居民电价交叉补贴问题提供可靠参考，采用问卷法调研了376个家庭的用电诉求，采用结构方程分析法构建了反映居民用电诉求的MRDE模型。本文发现，居民可以接受基于相关指标优化后的电价上涨，其中服务水平和电压合格率因素对电价上涨预期存在直接的正向影响,电能质量和供电可靠性因素对电价上涨预期存在间接的正向影响。

关键词: 增量配电网改革, 电价交叉补贴, 居民用电诉求, MRDE模型

Abstract: It is conventionally believed that residents are opposed to any increase in electricity prices. This paper delves into residents’ specific electricity demand and the role relationship between each other, and the findings provide reliable reference for addressing residential electricity cross-subsidies, which is one of the main difficulties confronting the current incremental power distribution grid reform. Based on a questionnaire survey of 376 households’ electricity demand data and the structural equation analysis method, this paper constructs a MRDE model that can reflect residential electricity demand, and finds that residents can accept the price increase resulting from optimization of relevant indicators, among which service quality and voltage qualification rate have a direct positive impact on the price increase expectation, while power quality and power supply reliability have an indirect positive impact on the price increase expectation.

Key words: incremental power distribution grid reform, electricity price cross-subsidy, residents’ demand for electricity, MRDE model

陈浩然, 孙睿, 刘宇, 高春辉, 杨朋威, 殷宗萍. 增量配电网改革背景下居民用电诉求研究——MRDE模型初探[J]. 管理评论, 2025, 37(4): 17-32.

Chen Haoran, Sun Rui, Liu Yu, Gao Chunhui, Yang Pengwei, Yin Zongping. Research on Residents’ Demand for Electricity under the Background of Incremental Power Distribution Grid Reform—Preliminary Study on MRDE Model[J]. Management Review, 2025, 37(4): 17-32.

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