基于旅客出行视角的高铁民航竞争因素分析

›› 2018, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (11): 209-222.

基于旅客出行视角的高铁民航竞争因素分析

骆嘉琪, 匡海波, 杨月, 刘龙方

大连海事大学综合交通运输协同创新中心, 大连 116026

收稿日期:2018-01-25 出版日期:2018-11-28 发布日期:2018-11-22
通讯作者: 匡海波,大连海事大学综合交通运输协同创新中心教授,博士生导师
作者简介:骆嘉琪,大连海事大学综合交通运输协同创新中心博士研究生;杨月,大连海事大学综合交通运输协同创新中心硕士研究生;刘龙方,大连海事大学综合交通运输协同创新中心硕士研究生。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目（71831002；71672016）；长江学者和创新团队发展计划项目（IRT_17R13）；中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目（3132018301；3132018304；3132016304；3132016309）。

Factor Analysis of the Competition between High-speed Railway and Civil Aviation from the Perspective of Passengers

Luo Jiaqi, Kuang Haibo, Yang Yue, Liu Longfang

Collaborative Innovation Center for Transport Studies, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026

Received:2018-01-25 Online:2018-11-28 Published:2018-11-22

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

近年高速铁路的快速发展俨然成为交通运输业的大方向，长距离、快速度和短时间是中国交通运输业共同秉持的发展意识，这在给高铁企业带来机遇的同时也给民航企业带来挑战，与此同时，旅客出行也面临多种选择。本文综合考虑多方面因素，从旅客出行的视角对高铁和民航竞争因素进行分析，建立全年安全事故率、票价波动程度、区域人口总数等30个指标高铁民航竞争因素评价体系，通过云模型将高铁与民航之间的竞争进行定性和定量的权衡和比较，得出高铁行业和民航行业的最终云模型，进而分析得出不同类型旅客情形下两者的竞争能力，以此提出政策建议。

关键词: 高铁民航, 竞争因素, 旅行出行视角, 云模型

Abstract:

In recent years, the rapid development of high-speed railway has become the general direction of transportation industry, and long distance, fast speed and short time are the development theme of China's transportation industry. This trend means opportunities for high-speed railway enterprises, challenges for civil aviation enterprises and more options for travelers.. This paper takes various factors into consideration and analyzes the factors of the competition between high-speed railway and civil aviation from the perspective of passengers. It also establishes a competition evaluation system that contains 30 indicators, such as price fluctuation, annual safety accident rate and so on. In this paper, the competition between high-speed railway and civil aviation is qualitatively and quantitatively weighed and compared through cloud model, which results in the final cloud model of high-speed railway industry and civil aviation industry. At last, we conclude the competitiveness of the two transportation means under different passenger scenarios and offer some relevant recommendations.

Key words: high-speed railway and civil aviation, competitive factors, perspective of travelers, cloud model

骆嘉琪, 匡海波, 杨月, 刘龙方. 基于旅客出行视角的高铁民航竞争因素分析[J]. , 2018, 30(11): 209-222.

Luo Jiaqi, Kuang Haibo, Yang Yue, Liu Longfang. Factor Analysis of the Competition between High-speed Railway and Civil Aviation from the Perspective of Passengers[J]. , 2018, 30(11): 209-222.

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