管理评论 ›› 2026, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (2): 31-42.

• 经济与金融管理 • 上一篇    

身临其境还是置身事外:基金经理面对气候风险的持仓调整研究

赵大萍1, 李景怡1, 房勇2   

  1. 1. 首都经济贸易大学金融学院, 北京 100070;
    2. 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院, 北京 100190
  • 收稿日期:2024-01-10 发布日期:2026-03-13
  • 作者简介:赵大萍,首都经济贸易大学金融学院教授,博士生导师,博士;李景怡,首都经济贸易大学金融学院博士研究生;房勇,中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院副研究员,博士生导师,博士。
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划资助项目(2023YFC3304700);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(24YJA790096);北京市属高校教师队伍建设支持计划优秀青年人才项目(BPHR202203181)。

Fire-suffering or Fire-watching: How do Fund Managers React to Climate Risk?

Zhao Daping1, Li Jingyi1, Fang Yong2   

  1. 1. School of Finance, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070;
    2. Academy of Mathematics and Systems and Sciences, Chinses Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190
  • Received:2024-01-10 Published:2026-03-13

摘要: 本文基于中国1973—2022年的气象数据及2013—2022年的股票型基金数据,实证检验了气候风险对基金经理投资决策的影响及传导路径。结果表明,气候风险显著降低了基金经理的持仓水平。当基金经理自身遭受气候风险时,又会因“身临其境”而进一步减持气候风险高的公司股票。机制研究显示,气候风险导致的灾区企业营业利润下降可为这种减持行为提供部分解释。政府部门的环境关注度在一定程度上有助于缓解这种过度反应。非明星基金经理、从业年限短和独立管理基金的基金经理在受到气候风险冲击时,其减持行为更加明显。本文为研究气候风险对我国金融市场的影响提供了基金层面的新视角和新证据。

关键词: 气候风险, 基金经理, 投资决策

Abstract: Climate risk is playing an increasingly important role in economic and financial markets. We use data of equity funds to study the relationship between changes in fund holdings and the occurrence of climate disasters. The results of main regression prove that climate risk can reduce the position of fund managers located in disaster- occurrence areas. Fund managers will further reduce high climate risk stocks when they are facing “fire-suffering”. Those behaviors can be partly explained by enterprises’ operating profits reduction. Further analyses show that when climate risk occurs, if both the fund company and the holding company are in same area, the fund manager will reduce more holdings of the companies, which can be regarded as fund managers’ overreaction to climate risk. The government’s emphasis on environmental protection can alleviate this reduction behavior to some extent. For fund managers who are famous, experienced, multi-managed and fund managers in where local governments attach important to environment, the reactions to climate risk are weaker than others. Our study provides a fund-level perspective on the interaction of climate risk and financial market.

Key words: climate risk, mutual fund manager, investment decisions