国家重大战略下中国数字经济发展的时空特征及影响因素

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 聚焦于国家重大战略背景下中国数字经济发展的演变特征。本文借鉴BEA(2018)的方法测算中国省际数字经济规模，探讨其增长的区域差异及动态演变规律，并识别数字经济发展的驱动因素。研究发现：2011—2018年中国数字经济规模呈较快增长趋势，且数字经济生产端对数字经济增加值的贡献最大。数字经济发展具有明显的区域差异，八大经济区之间的组间差异是总体差距的主要来源。全国及八大经济区内部数字经济发展差距较为显著，并呈现由东向西递减的梯度分布格局。数字经济发展存在较强的稳定性和路径依赖性，空间因素对数字经济发展状态的跃迁具有重要影响。数字经济发展受多种因素的驱动作用，其中，产业结构是主导因子，经济发展水平与人力资本的协同作用不断增强。研究结论为推动中国区域数字经济的协调发展提供了政策启示。

关键词: 数字经济, 八大经济区, 规模测度, 区域差异

Abstract: Focusing on the evolution of China' digital economy under major national strategies, this study adopts the method proposed by BEA(2018) to measure the provincial digital economy scale, examines regional disparities and dynamic evolution in its growth, and identifies the driving factors of digital economy development. The results show that between 2011 and 2018, China's digital economy expanded rapidly, with the production end contributing the most to digital value added. Significant regional disparities are observed, and inter-regional differences among the eight comprehensive economic zones constitute the primary source of the overall gap. Furthermore, both national and intra-regional disparities in digital economy development are evident and exhibit a gradient pattern decreasing from east to west. The digital economy demonstrates strong stability and path dependence, and spatial factors play an important role in state transitions. In terms of driving mechanisms, digital economy development is dynamically influenced by multiple factors, with industrial structure being the dominant driver and the synergistic effect of economic development and human capital becoming increasingly important. These findings provide policy implications for promoting the coordinated development of China's regional digital economy.

Key words: digital Economy, eight economic areas, scale measurement, regional differences

刘亦文, 阳超, 邓楠. 国家重大战略下中国数字经济发展的时空特征及影响因素[J]. 管理评论, 2026, 38(1): 27-38.

Liu Yiwen, Yang Chao, Deng Nan. Spatio-Temporal Differentiation and Dynamic Convergence of China's Digital Economy Development from the Perspective of Major National Strategies[J]. Management Review, 2026, 38(1): 27-38.

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