土地利用变化研究动态演化与趋势前沿——基于1990-2020年WoS核心数据库的文献计量分析

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 土地利用变化是全球生态系统、人类健康生存和经济高速发展等全球变化问题的主导因素之一。本文借助CiteSpace软件，对Web of Science核心数据库1990—2020年土地利用变化领域文献进行文献计量分析和知识图谱绘制。分析结果显示，现阶段土地利用变化研究领域热点集中于土地利用变化时空格局研究、土地利用变化驱动机制研究和土地利用变化影响效应研究。通过共被引分析，本文梳理土地利用变化领域演进的三个阶段，从早期的土地利用变化空间模型，进一步拓展到多学科研究领域，至近期的土地利用变化对生物多样性、森林变化量、气候变化和水文等领域的影响。使用突现分析未来研究趋势主要集中在：（1）全球环境和对应的环境政策对于土地利用变化响应研究；（2）多源地理空间数据和多尺度数据支持下提升城市扩张模型分辨率和精度研究；（3）评估土地利用变化对生态系统服务影响及形成机制研究。本文对新兴研究趋势进行文献计量分析有助于完善现有土地利用变化理论研究，对各学科交叉下的土地利用变化研究问题具有启发性，也为新时代国土空间规划政策制定提供参考。

关键词: 土地利用变化, 知识图谱, 文献计量, 战略坐标图

Abstract: Land use change is one of the key factors that lead to global upheavals in ecosystem, human health and economic development. This paper conducts a bibliometric analysis and draws a knowledge map in relation to land use change literature in the core database of Web of Science from 1990 to 2020. The results show that research focus in the field of land use change is on spatiotemporal pattern, driving mechanism and impact of land use change. Based on a co-citation analysis, we sort out the evolution of land use change into three stages. The first stage is a spatial model of land use change. The second stage is land use change and interdisciplinary research. The third stage evolves into the impact of land use change on areas such as biodiversity, forest change, climate change and hydrology. We find three priorities for future researches in the field of land use change by burst-term analysis. (1) Global environmental and policy responses to land use change; (2) Improving the resolution and accuracy of urban sprawl models based on multi-source spatial geographic data and multi-scale data; and (3) Assessing the impact of land use change on ecosystem services and formation mechanisms. Bibliometric analysis on these emerging research hotspots can improve existing theoretical researches on land use change, which is not only illuminating for the interdisciplinary research on land use change, but also provides a reference for policy formulation in territorial spatial planning.

Key words: land use change, knowledge graph, bibliometrics, strategic coordinates

王多民, 于海波, 皇甫玉斌, 韦艳莹, 董祚继. 土地利用变化研究动态演化与趋势前沿——基于1990-2020年WoS核心数据库的文献计量分析[J]. 管理评论, 2024, 36(1): 87-102.

Wang Duomin, Yu Haibo, Huangfu Yubin, Wei Yanying, Dong Zuoji. Dynamic Evolution and Trend of Land Use Change Research: A Bibliometric Analysis Based on the WoS Core Database for 1990—2020[J]. Management Review, 2024, 36(1): 87-102.

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