管理评论 ›› 2021, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (6): 294-305.

• 物流与供应链管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

考虑供应风险和产能约束的双源采购策略研究

曾能民   

  1. 哈尔滨工程大学经济管理学院, 哈尔滨 150001
  • 收稿日期:2018-03-01 发布日期:2021-07-03
  • 作者简介:曾能民,哈尔滨工程大学经济管理学院副教授,博士。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(72001057);国家社会科学基金重点项目(20AJY016;19AGL007);教育部人文社会科学项目(19YJC630052);黑龙江省自然科学基金项目(LH2020G003);黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目(20GLC205;18GLD291);中央高校基本科研业务费项目(3072020CFT0907;3072020CFW0909;3072020CFT2402)。

Dual Sourcing Decisions with Supply Risk and Capacity Constraint

Zeng Nengmin   

  1. School of Economics and Management, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin 150001
  • Received:2018-03-01 Published:2021-07-03

摘要: 在考虑供应风险和产能约束的情形下,研究了制造商需配置一个主供应商和一个后备供应商时的决策问题。建立了一个五阶段动态决策模型,采用逆向归纳法求出了供应链各方的最优决策,并重点比较了两种供应商配置方案——低成本主供应商策略和高成本主供应商策略。研究发现,当低成本供应商的产能劣势较为明显时,制造商选择高成本主供应商策略;否则,制造商选择低成本主供应商策略。而且,高(低)成本主供应商策略占优的区间随供应风险和后备生产成本的增加而变大(小)。制造商最优的策略选择和社会福利最优之间存在扭曲,且后备生产成本的降低会使扭曲加剧,而供应风险的增加却使扭曲减缓。

关键词: 供应链管理, 双源采购, 后备采购, 供应风险, 产能约束

Abstract: This study investigates the procurement strategies for a manufacturer who faces two suppliers with supply risks and capacity constraints. The manufacturer firstly takes one supplier as the primary supplier and another as the backup supplier, and then the primary supplier determines its wholesale price. Based on the wholesale price, the manufacturer places regular order to the primary supplier. After the random yield of the primary supplier is realized, the backup supplier determines its wholesale price and a backup order is placed by the manufacturer. The optimal decisions for the manufacturer, primary supplier and backup supplier are obtained, and the results show that the manufacturer either exercises HL strategy (i.e., taking the high-cost supplier as the primary supplier and the low-cost supplier as the backup supplier) when the capacity of the low-cost supplier is much smaller than that of the high-cost supplier, or LH strategy (i.e., taking the low-cost supplier as the primary supplier and the high-cost supplier as the backup supplier) when the opposite is the case. The domination region of HL (LH) strategy enlarges (shrinks) with the increases of both supply risk and backup production cost. Furthermore, there exists a distortion between the strategy selection of the manufacturer and that of the social optimum, and this distortion strengthens with the decrease of backup cost but weakens with the increase of supply risk.

Key words: supply chain management, dual sourcing, backup sourcing, supply risk, capacity constraint