技术融合壁垒视角下我国军民技术融合模式及演化分析

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 军民技术融合是我国实现军民融合深度发展战略的重要基础，军民技术融合壁垒影响着军工企业和民用企业技术融合效率。研究共生型、依托型和嵌套型三种军民技术融合模式下军工企业和民用企业的演化博弈过程，并通过仿真分析技术融合壁垒如何在不同模式下影响军民技术融合策略的发展变化，结果表明：（1）共生模式下，技术融合壁垒在合理的范围内军工企业都会选择“持续技术融合”，而民用企业只有当技术融合壁垒在较低的水平时才会选择“持续技术融合”。（2）依托模式下，军工企业在一般的壁垒程度内会选择先维持融合后趋于“背叛”的形式，民用企业则在较高技术壁垒程度以上才会选择“背叛”。（3）嵌套模式下，军民企业技术融合意愿强烈，军工企业只有在壁垒极高的情况下选择“背叛”，而民用企业无论在何种壁垒程度下，都会选择“持续技术融合”的技术融合策略。

关键词: 军民技术融合, 技术融合模式, 技术融合壁垒, 演化博弈

Abstract: Technology convergence is one of the foundations in military-civilian integration strategy in China. The technology convergence barriers have a significant influence on the efficiency of military and civil companies. This paper analyzes three civil-military technology integration modes, which are symbiosis mode, relying mode and embedded mode. Depending on these modes, we discuss the evolutionary process of military and civil company and how the technology convergence barriers affect the development of military and civilian technology fusion. The results show that in the mode of symbiosis, military enterprises will choose to cooperate continuously in a reasonable range of technical convergence barriers, while civil enterprises only choose continuous cooperation when the technical convergence barriers are lower. In the mode of relying, military enterprises in general technical barrier degree will choose to cooperate first and tend to the opposite, while civil enterprises will choose not to cooperate continuously only under high technical barriers. In the embedded mode, enterprises have a strong willingness to cooperate and to be specific, military enterprises choose to give up continuous cooperation only if they have high barriers, the civil enterprises will always choose cooperation strategy regardless any extent of barriers.

Key words: civil-military technology integration, the mode of technology convergence, technology convergence barriers, evolutionary game

曹霞, 杨笑君, 张路蓬. 技术融合壁垒视角下我国军民技术融合模式及演化分析[J]. 管理评论, 2021, 33(3): 96-106.

Cao Xia, Yang Xiaojun, Zhang Lupeng. The Mode and Evolution Analysis of Civil-Military Technology Integration under the Technology Convergence Barriers[J]. Management Review, 2021, 33(3): 96-106.

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