管理评论

›› 2018, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (5): 95-100.

• 投入占用产出技术及其应用 • 上一篇    下一篇

经济增长动力的投入占用产出分析

刘新建, 房俊峰   

  1. 燕山大学经济管理学院, 秦皇岛 066004
  • 收稿日期:2016-10-12 出版日期:2018-05-28 发布日期:2018-05-29
  • 作者简介:刘新建,燕山大学经济管理学院教授,博士;房俊峰,燕山大学经济管理学院科研科科长,副研究员,硕士。
  • 基金资助:

    河北省社会科学基金年度项目（HB17YJ107）；河北省高等学校人文社会科学研究青年基金项目（SQ151119）；河北省高校人文社科重点研究基地科研项目。

Input-occupancy-output Analysis of the Economic Growth Engine

Liu Xinjian, Fang Junfeng   

  1. School of Economics and Management, Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao 066004
  • Received:2016-10-12 Online:2018-05-28 Published:2018-05-29

PDF (PC)

325

摘要：

关于经济增长动力的三驾或四驾马车观点是人们经常讨论的话题,但是,对这个理论的正确认识需要借助于完整的经济分析模型。本文应用动态投入占用产出模型,深入分析了投资需求与其他需求在拉动经济增长中的作用方式,结论是:首先,投资需求动力与其他需求之间不完全独立,其次,当年潜在增长受过去经济活动调节,当年积累消费配置决定未来潜在增长,再次,当年需求状态决定当年实际增长(不大于潜在增长)。主导拉动力的转换受经济发展阶段的影响。

关键词: 经济增长动力, 投入占用产出, 动态模型

Abstract:

The troika theory about economic growth is a frequently discussed topic, but it needs an integrally economic analytical model to have a correct understanding on it. Applying dynamic input-occupancy-output model, this paper gives a deep analysis to the action modes of investment and other demands in pulling economic growth. The conclusions are:first, they are not completely independent be-tween investment driving force and other demands; second, the potential growth in current year is regulated by last year economy and the current year distribution of consumption and accumulation decides the potential growth of future years; third, the current year demand structure decides the current year actual growth which is not bigger than the potential. The transformation of leading driving force is influ-enced by the economic development stage.

Key words: economic growth engine, input-occupancy-output model, dynamic model