管理评论

›› 2018, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (3): 226-239.

• 公共管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国对外直接投资改善了“一带一路”沿线国家的基础设施水平吗?

黄亮雄1, 钱馨蓓2, 隋广军1   

  1. 1. 广东外语外贸大学广东国际战略研究院, 广州 510420;
    2. 广东外语外贸大学南国商学院, 广州 510545
  • 收稿日期:2016-12-16 出版日期:2018-03-28 发布日期:2018-03-26
  • 作者简介:黄亮雄,广东外语外贸大学广东国际战略研究院副教授,博士;钱馨蓓,广东外语外贸大学南国商学院经济学院教师,硕士;隋广军,广东外语外贸大学广东国际战略研究院教授,博士
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金青年项目（71403062）；广东省软科学项目（2015A070705011；2017A070706020）；广东外语外贸大学研究生科研创新项目（16GWCXXM-46）。

Have China's FDIs Improved the Infrastructure of Countries along the Belt and Road?

Huang Liangxiong1, Qian Xinbei2, Sui Guangjun1   

  1. 1. Guangdong Institute for International Strategies, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, Guangzhou 510420;
    2. South China Business College, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, Guangzhou 510545
  • Received:2016-12-16 Online:2018-03-28 Published:2018-03-26

PDF (PC)

853

摘要：

基础设施建设是中国对外直接投资的重要领域，也是共建"一带一路"倡议的重要内容。本文以中国影响世界的视角，采用2003-2013年64个沿线国家的非平衡面板数据，构建计量模型，分析中国向沿线国家直接投资对沿线国家基础设施水平的影响效应。本文首先定义了五维度的基础设施水平指数，衡量沿线国家的基础设施状况，沿线国家的基础设施水平逐渐完善，区域差异不断缩小。其后，建立面板数据模型，发现中国向沿线国家直接投资增长1%，约能显著促进沿线国家基础设施水平提高0.006%。在样本期的2003-2013年，中国投资对沿线国家基础设施水平改善的贡献率约为12%。该促进效应在经济"顺梯度"的投资中有所减弱，但政治"顺梯度"并不影响该促进效应。

关键词: 对外直接投资, 基础设施, &ldquo, 一带一路&rdquo, 调节效应

Abstract:

Infrastructure construction is not only an important area of China's foreign direct investment (FDI), but also an important part of China's "Belt and Road" initiative. We take the perspective of China's influence on the world and use the unbalanced panel data of 64 countries along the Belt and Road from 2003 to 2013 to construct an econometric model for analyzing the impact of China's FDIs on the infrastructure of countries along the Belt and Road. Firstly, we construct a five-dimensional infrastructure level index to measure the infrastructure state of the countries along the Belt and Road. The result shows that the infrastructure of countries along the Belt and Road is constantly improving and the regional differences are narrowing. Subsequently, we establish a panel data model and find that every 1% increase in China's direct investment to the countries along the Belt and Road could improve these countries' infrastructure by 0.006%. In the sample period 2003-2013, China contributes 12% to the improvement of these countries' infrastructure. This promoting effect weakens in the investment of economic "downgradient", but political "downgradient" does not affect the promoting effect.

Key words: FDI, infrastructure, the Belt and Road, regulation effect