Study on Risk Assessment of Prisoners' Recidivism and Correct Strategy Based on WSR Theory

Abstract

Abstract: The problem of recidivism is always a complex and noticeable issue. Adequate risk assessment and correctional measures is considered to be an effective way to solve the problem of recidivism. This thesis first proposed to use the “Wuli-Shili-Renli (WSR) Methodology” to evaluate offenders' risk of re-offending. In this paper, prisoners are regarded as the object, and the re-offending risk control is regarded as a complex problem. By means of choosing and classifying the re-offending factors, this paper tries to build the framework for Wuli, Shili and Renli in the process of assessing the re-offending risks and rehabilitative needs.

Key words: WSR, Offenders, Recidivism, Risk assessment, Correct

Liu Boxun, Wu Xu. Study on Risk Assessment of Prisoners' Recidivism and Correct Strategy Based on WSR Theory[J]. Management Review, 2021, 33(5): 106-113.

References

[1] 司法部预防犯罪研究所课题组. 关于罪犯重新犯罪问题的调查报告——对全国1997-2001年监狱释放罪犯重新犯罪的考察》[J]. 犯罪与改造研究, 2019,3(5):2-16
[2] 陈清霞. 再犯罪之原因探析——对监狱工作的反思[J]. 法制与社会, 2016,1(15):275-290
[3] 孙安清,赖咸森. 重新犯罪与否和罪犯改造质量标准的关系质疑兼论科学的罪犯改造质量标准[J]. 政治与法律, 2001,9(3):24-27
[4] 吴旭. 监禁率国际比较研究[M]. 南京:江苏人民出版社, 2011
[5] 刘崇亮,严励. 对中国"罪犯改造无(有)效论"的实证分析[J]. 政法论丛, 2018,10(5):118-127
[6] Hollin, C. The Essential Handbook of Offender Assessment and Treatment[M]. New Jersey:John Wiley Ltd, 2004
[7] Andrews D. A., Bonta J., Wormith J. S. The Recent Past and Near Future of Risk and/or Need Assessment[J]. Crime & Delinquency, 2006,52(1):7-27
[8] 张强,何乐平. 基于支持向量机的治安高危人员风险预警方法[J]. 管理评论, 2016,28(11):245-251
[9] 陈建华,姜甜甜. 女性重新犯罪的防控——以风险评估量表的开发为视角[C]. 第四届上海犯罪学论坛暨国际犯罪学学会成立80周年纪念及研讨活动, 2017
[10] 翟中东. 国际视域下的重新犯罪防止政策[M]. 北京:北京大学出版社, 2010
[11] 柳长森,郭建华,金浩,等. 基于WSR方法论的企业安全风险管控模式研究——"11·22"中石化管道泄漏爆炸事故案例分析[J]. 管理评论, 2017,29(1):265-272
[12] 罗建强,李伟鹏,赵艳萍,等. 基于WSR的制造企业服务衍生状态及其评价研究[J]. 管理评论, 2017,29(6):129-140
[13] 顾基发. 物理事理人理系统方法论的实践[J]. 管理学报, 2011,8(3):317-355
[14] 姬荣斌,何沙. WSR方法论及其应用[J]. 价值工程, 2013,30(2):13-19
[15] 顾基发,高飞. 从管理科学角度谈物理-事理-人理系统方法论[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 1998,18(8):1-5
[17] Medleson E. A Survey of Proactive at Requital Forensic Service:What do Forensic Psychiatrists Do? Part 1:Characteristics of Cases and Distribution of Work[J]. Br J Psychiatry,1992,160(5):769-772
[18] 赵万利,栾清明,曹中昌,等. 男性服刑罪犯精神障碍流行学调查[J]. 中国行为医学科学, 1999,8(3):227-228
[19] 马恩轩,赵万利,栾清明,等. 在监罪犯精神障碍流行学调查[J]. 山东精神医学, 1998,11(2):12-14
[20] 吕成荣,赵山,储井山,等. 服刑罪犯精神障碍患病率调查[J]. 临床精神医学杂志, 2003,13(4):226-227
[21] 罗大华. 犯罪心理学[M]. 北京:中国政法大学出版社, 2003
[22] 吴宗宪. 西方犯罪学史(第二版)[M]. 北京:中国人民公安大学出版社, 2010
[23] Watson J. B. Psychology as the Behaviorist Views It[J]. Psychological Review, 1913,20(1):158-177
[24] Bandura A. Social Learning of Moral Judgments[J]. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1969,11(3):275-279
[25] 章志光,金盛华. 社会心理学[M]. 北京:人民教育出版社, 1996
[26] 陈会昌. 心理诊断[M]. 北京:华文出版社, 2000
[27] George B., Thomas J., Jeffrey B. Theoretical Criminology[M]. New York:Oxford University Press, 1986
[28] 吴旭. 监禁刑的未来趋势[J]. 国家检察官学院学报, 2010,6(18):96-100
[29] 张邵彦. 刑事执行新探[J]. 现代法学, 1998,2(3):19-25
[30] Martin R., Zimmerman S. A Typology of the Causes of Prison Riots and All Analytical Extension to the 1986 West Virginia Riot[J]. Justice Quarterly, 1990,7(4):711-737
[31] 舒国滢. 法律智慧警句集[M]. 北京:中国法制出版社, 2001
[32] Fox V. Why Prisoners Riot[J]. Federal Probation, 1971,(35):9-14
[33] 叶奕乾. 现代人格心理学[M]. 上海:上海教育出版社, 2005
[34] Bouchard T., Lykken D., McGue M., et al. Sources of Human Psychological Differences:The Minnesota Study of Twins Reared Apart[J]. Science, 1990,252(5003):223-228
[35] Koffka K. On Problems of Colour-perception[J]. Acta Psychologica, 1936,(1):129-134
[36] Fancher R. Biographical Origins of Francis Galton's Psychology[J]. Isis, 1983,74(2):227-233