An Analysis and Prediction of the Compensation Model of New Rural Cooperative Medical System in Xinjiang

Abstract

Abstract:

The scientific and reasonable compensation system is the key factor in realizing the sustainable development of New Rural Cooperative Medical System. The mode of "outpatient, hospitalization and subsidy for serious diseases" is carried out in Xinjiang, which sets up a pooling fund for serious diseases in addition to the outpatient and hospitalization compensation. Based on the compensation mechanism of the New Rural Cooperative Medical System, this paper collects the related data in the period from 2008 to 2013. And then, this paper predicts the development tendency of New Rural Cooperative Medical System in Xinjiang through the method of PCA (Principal Component Analysis) and Exponential Smoothing. From the analysis, we can see that the compensation of the New Rural Cooperative Medical System in Xinjiang will keep rapid growth in the following years. On the one hand, this phenomenon explains that the New Rural Cooperative Medical System' compensation in Xinjiang has a good trend of growth. On the other hand, as the increment speed of financing of the New Rural Cooperative Medical System cannot catch up with the compensation, it will lead to the financial deficit which already happened in 2013. At last, the paper provides some suggestions based on the above analysis.

Key words: Xinjiang, new rural cooperative medical system, compensation, prediction

Yang Yuqing, Sha Siying, Yin Haoyu, Dong Jichang. An Analysis and Prediction of the Compensation Model of New Rural Cooperative Medical System in Xinjiang[J]. , 2018, 30(8): 267-274.

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