Who Are “Aged” Migrant Workers——Data Analysis Based on Floating Population Monitoring Survey

Abstract

Abstract:

Change in migrant workers' age structure makes it challenging to divide them into the traditional two generations. A precise and reasonable age division becomes a focus of academic researches now. Using method of Market Basket Analysis from machine learning, based on the 2013-2015 floating population monitoring data from national health and family planning commission, this paper constructs a four-dimension index system and identify aged migrant workers through a multi-perspective analysis. Different from the previous "over 50 years-old" definition of aged workers, the results show that migrant workers began to present prominent "aged" characteristics at the age of 45, such as unemployment risk, poor health care and income decline. Therefore, supportive and safeguard policy formulated according to traditional age division will dislocate aged migrant worker's demand. And this will have bad influence on resource allocation in the labor market and advancement of urbanization. Consequently, after defining "aged" migrant workers and summarizing characteristics of this group, this paper puts forward relevant policy recommendations.

Key words: aged, migrant workers, age boundary, market basket analysis, floating population monitoring data

Jin Xiaoyi, Hu Zhaoyuan, Gu Dongdong. Who Are “Aged” Migrant Workers——Data Analysis Based on Floating Population Monitoring Survey[J]. , 2018, 30(7): 271-280.

References

[1] 王春光. 新生代农村流动人口的社会认同与城乡融合的关系[J]. 社会学研究, 2001,(3):63-76
[2] 刘传江,徐建玲. "民工潮"与"民工荒"——农民工劳动供给行为视角的经济学分析[J]. 财经问题研究, 2006,(5):73-80
[3] 符平,唐有财,江立华. 农民工的职业分割与向上流动[J]. 中国人口科学, 2012,(6):75-82
[4] 蔡禾,李超海,冯建华. 利益受损农民工的利益抗争行为研究——基于珠三角企业的调查[J]. 社会学研究, 2009,24(1):139-161
[5] 章铮,谭琴. 论劳动密集型制造业的就业效应——兼论"用工荒"[J]. 中国工业经济, 2005,(7):5-11
[6] 许传新. 农民工的进城方式与职业流动——两代农民工的比较分析[J]. 青年研究, 2010,(3):1-12
[7] 吴敏,段成荣,朱晓. 高龄农民工的心理健康及其社会支持机制[J]. 社人口学刊, 2016,38(4):93-102
[8] 谷玉良. 老年农民工的城市社会保障与权利诉求[J]. 人口与社会, 2016,32(3):51-57
[9] 顾大男. 老年人年龄界定和重新界定的思考[J]. 中国人口科学, 2000,(3):42-51
[10] Major R. J. Older Adults And the Fear of Death:The Protective Function of Generativity[J]. Canadian Journal on Aging-Revue Canadienne Du Vieillissement, 2016,35(2):261-272
[11] Akseer N. Global And Regional Trends in the Nutritional Status of Young People:A Critical And Neglected Age Group[J]. An-nals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 2017,1393(1):3-20
[12] 段成荣,靳永爱. 二代流动人口——对新生代流动人口的新划分与新界定[J]. 人口与经济, 2017,(2):42-54
[13] 崔烨,靳小怡. 亲近还是疏离? 乡城人口流动背景下农民工家庭的代际关系类型分析——来自深圳调查的发现[J]. 人口研究, 2015,39(3):48-60
[14] Sathyapriya R. S. Assessment of Annual Intake of Thorium From Animal Origin Food Consumed by Population Residing in Mona-zite Rich Area of Southern India[J]. Journal of Radioanalytical and Nuclear Chemistry, 2017,312(5):405-412
[15] 杨森平,唐芬芬,吴栩. 我国城乡收入差距与城镇化率的倒U关系研究[J]. 管理评论, 2015,27(11):62-72
[16] 姚金海. 人口老龄化,养老金收支缺口与财政风险的传导与化解——以A市为例的一项实证研究[J]. 管理评论, 2016, 28(4):13-16
[17] 章铮,杜峥鸣,乔晓春. 论农民工就业与城市化——基于年龄结构-生命周期分析[J]. 中国人口科学, 2008,(6):8-18
[18] Guo Y. What Determines Pension Insurance Participation in China? Triangulation And the Intertwined Relationship Among Em-ployers, Employees And the Government[J]. International Journal of Human Resource Management, 2016,27(18):2142-2160
[19] 秦立建,陈波. 医疗保险对农民工城市融入的影响分析[J]. 管理世界, 2014,(10):19-99
[20] Qiu M. Old Age Insurance Participation Among Rural-urban Migrants in China[J]. Demogaphic Research, 2015, 33(1):1047-1066
[21] Fang Z. Social Insurance, Income and Subjective Well-Being of Rural Migrants in China——An Application of Unconditional Quantile Regression[J]. Journal of Happiness Studies, 2016,17(4):1635-1657
[22] Johan P., Kaushal C., Agrawal M. K. Information Market-Based Decision Fusion[J]. Management Science, 2009,55(5):827-842
[23] Li C. Association Between Sociodemographic, Psychosocial, lifestyle Factors, and Self-reported Health Among Migrant Laborers in China[J]. Journal of the Chine Medical Association, 2017,80(4):204-216
[24] Biering K., Lander F., Rasmussen K. Work Injuries Among Migrant Workers in Denmark[J]. Occupational and Environmental Medicine, 2017,74(4):235-242
[25] Mohabir N., Jiang Y., Ma R. Chinese Floating Migrants:Rural-urban Migrant Labourers' Intentions to Stay Or Return[J]. Hab-itat International, 2017,60(2):101-110
[26] Zhong B. L. Common Mental Health Problems in Rural-to-urban Migrant Workers in Shenzhen, China:Prevalence and Risk Fac-tors[J]. Epidemiology and Psychiatric Sciences, 2018,27(3):256-265
[27] Trevor H., Robert T., Jerome F. The Elements of Statistical Learning[M]. New York:Springer-Verlag New York, 2009
[28] Li J., Feng X. L. Health Care-seeking Behaviours And Health Expenditures in Adults Aged 45 Years and Older in China, 2011-2013[J]. Tropical Medicine & International Health, 2017,22(5):638-654
[29] Zhou C. Legal Protection of the Right to Old-Age Insurance for Migrant Workers from Rural Areas in China[J]. China An Inter-national Journal, 2015,13(2):135-150