管理评论 ›› 2026, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (9): 69-81.

• 经济与金融管理 • 上一篇    

自贸区建设对"四链"融合的促进机制研究——基于RDD分析的效益评估与发展策略

杨明1, 刘明熹2   

  1. 1. 中国科学院大学经济与管理学院, 北京 100190;
    2. 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院, 北京 100190
  • 收稿日期:2024-12-20 发布日期:2026-10-09
  • 作者简介:杨明,中国科学院大学经济与管理学院博士研究生;刘明熹(通讯作者),中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院副研究员,博士。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金面上项目(72471225);中国科学院学部咨询评议项目(2023-ZY04-B-030);新时代党的治疆方略理论与实践研究课题(2024ZJFLY52)。

Research on the Mechanism of How the Free Trade Zone Construction Promotes the Four Chains Integration:Benefit Evaluation and Development Strategy Based on RDD Analysis

Yang Ming1, Liu Mingxi2   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190;
    2. Institute of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190
  • Received:2024-12-20 Published:2026-10-09

摘要: 创新链、产业链、资金链、人才链“四链”深度融合是现代化产业体系的重要路径。自贸区作为高水平对外开放的“试验田”,通过政策创新和灵活策略为“四链”融合提供了独特环境。本文基于2010—2022年全国31省份的RDD实证分析发现,自贸区建设显著推动第三产业增长,加速产业链与创新链融合,滞后提升外资与创新水平,并显示人才链响应更为显著。虽然建设初期面临企业调整挑战,但长期效果显著,且地区差异明显。本研究不仅拓展了“四链”融合理论的政策应用场景,也为自贸区制定精准化发展策略提供了有效参考。

关键词: 四链融合, 四螺旋理论, 断点回归, 自由贸易试验区

Abstract: Deep integration of the innovation chain, industrial chain, capital chain, and talent chain is an important path for the modern industrial system. As a “test field” for high-level opening up, free trade zones provide a unique environment for the integration of the “four chains” through policy innovation and flexible strategies. Based on an RDD empirical analysis of 31 provinces across China from 2010 to 2022, this paper finds that the construction of free trade zones significantly promotes the growth of the tertiary industry, accelerates the integration of the industrial chain and the innovation chain, and retards the rise of foreign investment and innovation levels, with a more significant response from the talent chain. Although the initial stage of construction faces challenges of enterprise adjustment, the long-term effects are significant, and regional differences are obvious. This study not only expands the policy application scenarios of the four-chain integration theory, but also provides an effective reference for free trade zones to formulate precise development strategies.

Key words: four-chain integration, four-helix theory, regression discontinuity design, free trade zone