新质生产力赋能绿色能源效率提升的机制和路径研究

摘要/Abstract

摘要： “双碳”战略目标背景下，培育和发展新质生产力成为破解能源短缺、提升绿色能源效率的重要途径。本文基于2013—2022年中国省级面板数据，利用固定效应模型、中介模型、门槛模型考察新质生产力对绿色能源效率的影响。研究发现，新质生产力能有效赋能绿色能源效率的提升，特别是在高资源依赖度、高工业化水平和制造业集聚水平较高的地区。绿色技术创新和数字金融发展是新质生产力赋能绿色能源效率提升的关键作用机制。此外，新质生产力对绿色能源效率提升还具有典型的非线性影响。当数字经济发展水平跨过阈值时，新质生产力的绿色能源效率提升效应呈现出“抑制—滞后—激发”的“U”型非线性变化轨迹；当环境规制程度大于阈值时，其会呈现“正向边际递减”趋势。

关键词: 新质生产力, 绿色能源效率, 作用机制, 非线性影响, 绿色技术创新

Abstract: Under the “dual carbon” strategic goal, cultivating and developing new quality productive forces has become a crucial approach to addressing energy shortages and enhancing green energy efficiency. This paper utilizes fixed-effect model, mediating model, and threshold model to examine the impact of new quality productive forces on green energy efficiency based on provincial panel data from China spanning 2013 to 2022. The findings indicate that the advancement of new quality productive forces effectively empower green energy efficiency, particularly in provinces with high resource dependence, a high level of industrialization, and significant industrial agglomeration. Green technology innovation and digital financial construction are the key mechanisms for new quality productive forces to empower green energy efficiency. Furthermore, it is observed that new quality productive forces exhibit a typical nonlinear effect on green energy efficiency. Specifically, when the level of the digital economy surpasses a certain threshold, the impact of new quality productive forces on improving green energy efficiency follows a nonlinear trajectory characterized by “U” shape of “restrain-hysteresis-excitation”. However, when the degree of environmental regulation exceeds a specific threshold value, its promoting effect demonstrates a nonlinear trend marked by marginal decline.

Key words: new quality productive forces, green energy efficiency, mechanism, nonlinear effect, green technology innovation

申立忠, 庚辰, 李秀婷, 董纪昌. 新质生产力赋能绿色能源效率提升的机制和路径研究[J]. 管理评论, 2025, 37(11): 41-53.

Shen Lizhong, Geng Chen, Li Xiuting, Dong Jichang. Research on the Mechanism and Path of Green Energy Efficiency Improvement Empowered by New Quality Productive Forces[J]. Management Review, 2025, 37(11): 41-53.

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