中央环保督察何时起效?——中央环保督察对城市环境质量的时滞效应研究

管理评论 ›› 2023, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (12): 295-307.

中央环保督察何时起效?——中央环保督察对城市环境质量的时滞效应研究

马洁琼, 赵海峰

同济大学经济与管理学院, 上海 200092

收稿日期:2022-01-05 出版日期:2023-12-28 发布日期:2024-01-30
通讯作者: 赵海峰(通讯作者)，同济大学经济与管理学院教授，博士生导师，博士。
作者简介:马洁琼，同济大学经济与管理学院博士研究生。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目（71972145）。

When will the Central Environmental Protection Inspection Play Its Role?——The Time-lag Effect of the Central Environmental Protection Inspection on Urban Environmental Quality

Ma Jieqiong, Zhao Haifeng

School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092

Received:2022-01-05 Online:2023-12-28 Published:2024-01-30

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 不同于常规的环境规制政策，中央环保督察因具有运动式治理特征，对被督察城市环境质量的影响值得研究。为探究中央环保督察何时起效，本文致力于中央环保督察的时滞效应研究，采用2012—2019年中国287个地级市的面板数据，运用双向固定效应模型实证分析了中央环保督察对城市环境质量的时滞效应及其相关影响机制。研究结果表明：（1）中央环保督察的效果存在时滞效应，且对不同类型污染物减排的时滞效应在时间和空间上具有异质性；（2）中西部地区城市具有明显的运动式应对特征，中央环保督察对中西部城市的气体污染物影响呈“U”型；（3）中央环保督察对不同经济发展水平城市、不同污染物起效时间不同。最后，根据本文的研究结论，提出相应的政策建议。

关键词: 中央环保督察, 时滞效应, 城市环境质量, 运动式治理

Abstract: Unlike conventional environmental regulations and policies, the central environmental protection inspection is carried out in a campaign style, so its impact on the environmental quality of the inspected cities is worth studying. In order to explore when the central environmental protection inspection will play its role, this paper focuses the time-lag effect of the central environmental protection inspection. Based on the data of 287 prefecture-level cities in China from 2012 to 2019, the two-way fixed effects model is used to analyze the central environmental protection inspection's time-lag effect and the mechanism of its influence on urban environmental quality. Results show that: (1) there is time-lag effect in policy effect of the central environmental protection inspection and the time-lag effect on the emission reduction of different pollutants is heterogeneous in time and space; (2) the central and western regions show significant characteristics of campaign-style, and the central environmental protection inspection has a U-shaped impact on gaseous pollutants in the central and western regions; and (3) for different pollutants in cities with different scales of economy, the central environmental protection inspection plays its role at different time. Finally, based on the above conclusions, related policy recommendations are put forward.

Key words: the central environmental protection inspection, time-lag effect, urban environmental quality, campaign-style governance

马洁琼, 赵海峰. 中央环保督察何时起效?——中央环保督察对城市环境质量的时滞效应研究[J]. 管理评论, 2023, 35(12): 295-307.

Ma Jieqiong, Zhao Haifeng. When will the Central Environmental Protection Inspection Play Its Role?——The Time-lag Effect of the Central Environmental Protection Inspection on Urban Environmental Quality[J]. Management Review, 2023, 35(12): 295-307.

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