管理评论

管理评论 ›› 2022, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (6): 280-291.

• 组织与战略管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

不同垂直一体化模式下出口导向型制造企业生产仿真研究——关税和劳动力成本影响分析

赖新峰1, 王鑫1, 陈志祥2, 王翠霞1   

  1. 1. 江西财经大学信息管理学院, 南昌 330032;
    2. 中山大学管理学院, 广州 510275
  • 收稿日期:2021-02-05 出版日期:2022-06-28 发布日期:2022-07-22
  • 通讯作者: 陈志祥(通讯作者),中山大学管理学院教授,博士生导师,博士。
  • 作者简介:赖新峰,江西财经大学信息管理学院讲师,硕士生导师,博士;王鑫,江西财经大学信息管理学院硕士研究生;王翠霞,江西财经大学信息管理学院教授,博士生导师,博士。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目（71772191；71961009）；江西省教育厅科技研究项目（GJJ190266）；江西省高校人文社会科学项目（JC20202）。

Production Simulation Research of Export-oriented Manufacturing Enterprises under Different Vertical Integration Modes——Analysis of the Impact of Tariffs and Labor Costs

Lai Xinfeng1, Wang Xin1, Chen Zhixiang2, Wang Cuixia1   

  1. 1. School of Information Management, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330032;
    2. School of Business, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275
  • Received:2021-02-05 Online:2022-06-28 Published:2022-07-22

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摘要： 近年来，市场不确定性加剧，国际竞争环境变化，关税贸易壁垒和劳动力成本增加，一些出口导向型企业采用垂直一体化加强对生产成本的控制，降低产品成本。本文研究一个产品面向国外市场的制造企业，其生产需要两种零部件，采用两种不同的垂直一体化模式进行生产。第一种模式为部分垂直一体化模式，在这种模式中一种零部件由自己制造，另一种零部件采用外包生产。第二种模式为完全垂直一体化模式，在这种模式中，两种零部件都由企业自己垂直制造。为了比较两种生产模式的不同特点，本文在市场需求和供应商的有效产出均随机的前提下，分别建立部分垂直一体化和完全垂直一体化生产模式的系统动力学模型。通过仿真分析发现:在关税税率一定的情况下，存在唯一的制造商最优行动分界点，当关税税率升高时，制造商最优行动分界点将降低，并在垂直一体化模型基础上考虑劳动力成本因素，结果发现劳动力成本对制造商决策也具有相同的影响。

关键词: 垂直一体化, 出口导向型制造企业, 关税, 劳动力成本

Abstract: In response to the increasing market uncertainty, changing environment of international competition and rising tariff barriers and labor costs over recent years, some export-oriented enterprises have adopted vertical integration to control their production costs. This paper studies an export-oriented manufacturing company that. adopts two different vertical integration modes to produce two kinds of necessary parts. The first mode is partially vertical integration, namely, one kind of parts are manufactured in house and the other by outsourcing. The second mode is completely vertical integration, namely, both kinds of parts are manufactured in house. In order to compare the different characteristics of the two production modes, this paper establishes a partially vertically integrated system dynamics model and a completely vertically integrated system dynamics model under the premise that market demand and supplier's effective output are both random. Our simulation analysis shows that at a given tariff rate, there is a unique optimal demarcation point for manufacturers to take action and at a higher tariff rate increases, the optimal demarcation point goes downward. Moreover, by factoring labor cost into the vertically integrated model, we find that labor cost has the same effect on the manufacturer's decision.

Key words: vertical integration, export-oriented manufacturing, tariff, labor cost