管理评论

管理评论 ›› 2025, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (9): 208-221.

• 运作管理 • 上一篇    

基于双重敏感性的复杂装备制造项目综合缓冲监控方法

王姝婷1, 刘晓冰1,2, 白朝阳1,2, 薛方红1,2   

  1. 1. 大连理工大学经济管理学院, 大连 116024;
    2. 大连理工大学制造管理信息化技术国家地方联合工程实验室, 大连 116024
  • 收稿日期:2023-04-18 发布日期:2025-10-13
  • 作者简介:王姝婷，大连理工大学经济管理学院博士研究生；刘晓冰（通讯作者），大连理工大学经济管理学院教授，博士生导师，博士；白朝阳，大连理工大学经济管理学院副教授，博士；薛方红，大连理工大学经济管理学院讲师，博士。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金项目(19BGL029)；大连理工大学基本科研业务费项目(DUT23YG20)。

Comprehensive Buffer Monitoring Method of Complex Equipment Manufacturing Project Based on Double Sensitivity

Wang Shuting1, Liu Xiaobing1,2, Bai Zhaoyang1,2, Xue Fanghong1,2   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024;
    2. National and Local Joint Engineering Laboratory of Manufacturing Management Information Technology, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024
  • Received:2023-04-18 Published:2025-10-13

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摘要： 当前市场环境变化快速且市场竞争激烈，提高进度监控效率与预警精度，保证产品按期交货是制造企业生产管理的核心目标。缓冲监控提供了一种项目进度管理的有效方法。本文针对现有缓冲监控忽视项目内部结构以及工序层面特征信息的不足，提出一种基于双重敏感性的复杂装备制造项目综合缓冲监控方法。首先，考虑工序特征及工序所处阶段对项目工期的影响，将敏感性分为工序敏感性与阶段敏感性，根据双重敏感性对项目缓冲进行动态滚动分配。其次，为使监控重点更加突出、监控维度更加全面，根据项目执行阶段动态设置缓冲监控基准点与工序敏感性阈值，综合项目层缓冲消耗情况和工序层敏感性信息，判断采取纠偏措施的时机。实例验证表明，该方法能够在保证项目按时完工率的前提下，降低红区与黄区的预警频次，避免错误预警带来的成本浪费并突出监控重点，提高了缓冲的监控管理效率。

关键词: 复杂装备制造项目, 缓冲监控, 缓冲分配, 工序敏感性, 阶段敏感性

Abstract: Currently, the market environment is changing rapidly and the competition is fierce. Improving the efficiency of progress monitoring and early warning accuracy to ensure timely delivery of products is the core goal of manufacturing enterprises in production management. Buffer monitoring provides an effective method for project schedule management. In order to solve the problem that the existing buffer monitoring ignores the internal structure of the project and the process characteristic information, a comprehensive buffer monitoring method of complex equipment manufacturing project based on double sensitivity is proposed. Firstly, considering the influence of process characteristics and the phase of the process on the project duration, the sensitivity is divided into process sensitivity and phase sensitivity, and the project buffer is dynamically assigned on a rolling basis according to the double sensitivity. Second, the buffer monitoring trigger points and process sensitivity thresholds are dynamically set according to the project execution phase, and the timing of corrective actions is judged by integrating the project-level buffer consumption and process-level sensitivity information, which makes the monitoring more focused and comprehensive. The experimental results show that the proposed method reduces the frequency of red and yellow warnings while ensuring the on-time completion rate of projects. Meanwhile, it avoids the cost waste caused by false warnings and highlights the monitoring focus, which improves the efficiency of buffer monitoring management.

Key words: complex equipment manufacturing projects, buffer monitoring, buffer allocation, process sensitivity, phase sensitivity