管理评论

管理评论 ›› 2025, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (7): 56-66.

• 经济与金融管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

区域聚集和组态变化双视角下中国城市绿色发展研究

李洪伟1, 蒋金雨1, 陶敏1, 杨印生2, 孙作人3   

  1. 1. 山东科技大学经济管理学院, 青岛 266590;
    2. 吉林大学生物与农业工程学院, 长春 130022;
    3. 山东大学商学院, 威海 264209
  • 收稿日期:2022-10-17 发布日期:2025-07-30
  • 作者简介:李洪伟（通讯作者），山东科技大学经济管理学院教授，博士生导师，博士;蒋金雨，山东科技大学经济管理学院硕士研究生;陶敏，山东科技大学经济管理学院讲师，硕士生导师，博士;杨印生，吉林大学生物与农业工程学院教授，博士生导师，博士;孙作人，山东大学商学院副教授，硕士生导师，博士。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目（71071069）；山东省社会科学规划研究项目（22CJJJ24）；山东省自然科学基金项目（ZR2022MG085）；山东省本科高校教学改革研究项目（M2021293）。

Green Development of Chinese Cities from the Perspective of Regional Agglomeration and Configuration Change

Li Hongwei1, Jiang Jinyu1, Tao Min1, Yang Yinsheng2, Sun Zuoren3   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590;
    2. College of Biological and Agricultural Engineering, Jilin University, Changchun 130022;
    3. School of Business, Shandong University, Weihai 264209
  • Received:2022-10-17 Published:2025-07-30

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摘要： 地级市在中国绿色发展进程中扮演着重要的角色，也是地区绿色发展的基本单元，更是推进地区绿色发展的重要载体。研究中国城市绿色发展，对于推进城市建设绿色化、促进城市经济发展绿色化以及实现高质量发展具有重要意义。基于2008—2018年282个地级市的相关数据，利用超效率SBM模型测算中国城市绿色发展效率，同时，运用空间跃迁矩阵、绿色发展引力模型以及动态模糊定性比较分析等方法，从区域聚集和组态变化双视角，分析我国城市绿色发展效率。结果显示：①当前中国城市绿色发展效率较低，仍存在明显的提升空间；②城市绿色发展效率存在明显的空间特征，且空间特征愈加明显，区域内城市绿色发展趋同性明显增强，城市空间跃迁具有一定的稳定性；③经济发达城市群内部城市之间的关联较强，其他地区城市空间相互作用有待提升，未来应多关注关联能力不足的地区，注重提升地区内部城市之间的联系；④“十二五”规划时期存在“条件受限-产业优化”和“条件受限-人才培养”两种充分条件组态，“十三五”规划时期则存在“发展提高-补齐短板”和“环保驱动-市场引领”两种充分条件组态，由此形成的绿色发展路径在构成要素上存在差异。

关键词: 时空格局, 区域差异, 实现路径, 绿色发展, 动态定性比较分析

Abstract: Prefecture level cities play an important role in China’s green development process as they are not only the basic unit of regional green development but also an important carrier for promoting regional green development. Studying the green development of Chinese cities is of great significance for promoting the green urban construction, promoting the green urban economic development, and achieving high-quality development. Based on the relevant data of 282 prefecture level cities from 2008 to 2018, this paper uses the super efficiency SBM model to calculate the green development efficiency of Chinese cities. At the same time, methods such as spatial transition matrix, green development gravity model, and dynamic fuzzy qualitative comparative analysis are used to analyze the green development efficiency of Chinese cities from the perspectives of regional aggregation and configuration changes. The results show that: (1) Currently, the efficiency of green development in Chinese cities is relatively low, and there is still significant room for improvement; (2) There are obvious spatial characteristics in the efficiency of urban green development, and the spatial characteristics are becoming increasingly evident. The convergence of urban green development within the region is significantly enhanced, and the transition of urban space has a certain degree of stability; (3) The correlation between cities within the economically developed urban agglomeration is strong, and the spatial interaction between cities in other regions needs to be improved. In the future, more attention should be paid to areas with insufficient correlation ability, and efforts should be made to enhance the connection between cities within the region; (4) During the 12th Five Year Plan period, there were two sufficient condition configurations: “restricted conditions-industrial optimization” and “restricted conditions-talent cultivation”. During the 13th Five Year Plan period, there were two sufficient condition configurations: “development and improvement-filling the gaps” and “environmental protection driven-market leading”. The green development path formed by this has differences in its constituent elements.

Key words: spatial and temporal framework, regional disparities, implementation pathways, green development, dynamic qualitative comparative analysis