管理评论 ›› 2023, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (6): 3-14.

• 经济与金融管理 •    下一篇

交通与通信基础设施:发展、地区差距与经济效应

薛婧1,2, 周绍杰1,2   

  1. 1. 清华大学公共管理学院, 北京 100084;
    2. 清华大学国情研究院, 北京 100084
  • 收稿日期:2021-08-05 发布日期:2023-07-27
  • 通讯作者: 周绍杰(通讯作者),清华大学公共管理学院教授,博士生导师,博士。
  • 作者简介:薛婧,清华大学公共管理学院博士后,博士。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重大项目(20&ZD076);2021年文科建设“双高”计划创新专项项目(2021TSG08303)。

Transportation and Communication Infrastructures: Development, Regional Disparities and Economic Effects

Xue Jing1,2, Zhou Shaojie1,2   

  1. 1. School of Public Policy & Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084;
    2. Institute for Contemporary China Studies, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084
  • Received:2021-08-05 Published:2023-07-27

摘要: 基于2000—2018年中国省级面板数据,运用泰尔指数和全局莫兰指数等分析各类交通与通信基础设施的规模演变及地区差距,采用空间计量模型检验各层级基础设施对经济的差异化影响。结果表明:研究期内,中国交通基础设施稳步扩张,通信基础设施中移动电话交换机和光缆规模持续增长,固定电话交换机规模缩减;交通基础设施地区差距明显缩小,移动通信基础设施地区差距较大且未改善。交通基础设施与移动通信基础设施的直接效应显著,其中铁路里程增加与高铁开通对邻近地区具有正向溢出。中国推进交通基础设施发展仍具经济意义,其经济效应未被通信基础设施超越,且通信基础设施的经济贡献与技术更新有关。应全面完善各层级交通基础设施网络,推进通信基础设施改造升级,加快移动通信网络深度覆盖,未来应重视交通与通信基础设施的共建共享、衔接融合。

关键词: 通信基础设施, 交通基础设施, 高铁, 地区差距, 经济效应

Abstract: Based on provincial panel data of China from 2000 to 2018, the Theil Index and the Global Moran Index are used to analyze the development, evolution and regional disparities of various transportation and communication infrastructures, and spatial econometric models are mainly used to investigate the different economic effects of these various infrastructures. The results show that during the research period, transportation infrastructures in China expanded steadily, the scale of mobile telephone exchanges and cables continued to grow and the scale of fixed telephone exchanges shrank. The economic effects of various transportation infrastructures and communication infrastructures are different. The direct economic effects of transportation infrastructure and mobile communication infrastructure are significant. The increase in railway mileage and the opening of HSR have positive spillover effects on adjacent areas. It is still economically significant for China to promote the transportation infrastructures as they are not surpassed by the communication infrastructures in terms of economic contribution. Additionally, economic effect of the communication infrastructures is related to technological upgrading. The transportation infrastructure network at all levels should be comprehensively improved, the technological transformation and upgrading of the communication infrastructures should be promoted, and the in-depth coverage of the mobile communication network should be accelerated. In the future, attention should be paid to the joint contribution, shared benefits and connectivity of transportation and communication infrastructures.

Key words: transportation infrastructures, communication infrastructures, HSR, regional disparities, economic effects