管理评论

管理评论 ›› 2021, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (2): 87-96.

• 技术与创新管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

“一带一路”倡议是否促进了中国对沿线新兴市场国家的技术转移？——基于DID模型的分析

陈衍泰1, 齐超2, 厉婧1,3, 李欠强4   

  1. 1. 浙江工业大学管理学院, 杭州 310000;
    2. 浙江工业大学公共管理学院, 杭州 310000;
    3. 嘉兴学院商学院, 嘉兴 314001;
    4. 台州学院商学院, 台州 318000
  • 收稿日期:2020-05-14 出版日期:2021-02-28 发布日期:2021-03-08
  • 通讯作者: 齐超(通讯作者),浙江工业大学公共管理学院硕士研究生
  • 作者简介:陈衍泰,浙江工业大学管理学院教授,博士生导师,博士;厉婧,浙江工业大学管理学院博士研究生;李欠强,台州学院商学院副教授,博士。
  • 基金资助:
    教育部哲学社会科学重大攻关项目（17JZD018）；国家自然科学基金项目（71772165）；国家“万人计划”青年拔尖人才研究项目（W03070173）。

Has the “Belt and Road” Initiative Promoted China's Technology Transfer to Emerging Market Countries along the Belt and Route?——Analysis Based on the Model of DID

Chen Yantai1, Qi Chao2, Li Jing1,3, Li Qianqiang4   

  1. 1. School of Management, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou 310000;
    2. School of Public Management, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou 310000;
    3. School of Business, Jiaxing University, Jiaxing 314001;
    4. School of Business, Taizhou University, Taizhou 318000
  • Received:2020-05-14 Online:2021-02-28 Published:2021-03-08

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摘要： “一带一路”倡议的提出为中国向沿线新兴市场国家进行技术转移提供了机遇。基于政策评估的基本思想，本文采用双重差分模型，选取了56个“一带一路”沿线新兴市场国家和89个非“一带一路”沿线新兴市场国家作为研究样本，将“一带一路”倡议作为准自然实验，通过反事实推断法，实证考察了“一带一路”倡议对中国向沿线新兴市场国家进行技术转移的政策效应。研究发现，作为中国的战略性宏观公共政策，“一带一路”倡议对中国向沿线新兴市场国家进行技术转移起到了正向促进作用，并通过政策次级系统下的政策工具及其交叉组合使用为其提供了环境、技术和财税等要素支持。同时本文的研究结论为“一带一路”倡议的纵深实施以及中国向沿线新兴市场国家进行技术转移提供了微观层面的支持。

关键词: “一带一路”倡议, 新兴市场国家, 技术转移, 双重差分, 政策评估

Abstract: The “Belt and Road” initiative provides an opportunity for China to transfer technology to emerging market countries along the belt and route. Based on the fundamental idea of policy evaluation, a difference in difference model is adopted in this paper and 56 emerging market countries along the “Belt and Road” and 89 non-“Belt and Road” emerging market countries are selected as research samples, and the research takes the “Belt and Road” initiative as a quasi-natural experiment to empirically examine the policy effect of the “Belt and Road” initiative on China's technology transfer to emerging market countries along the belt and route through counter-factual inference. The study finds that as China's strategic macro-public policy, the “Belt and Road” initiative has played a positive role in promoting technology transfer from China to emerging market countries along the belt and route, and it provides support for elements such as environment, technology, and taxation through the policy tools under the subsystem of policy and their cross-combination. At the same time, the conclusions of this paper provide micro-level support for the deep implementation of the “Belt and Road” initiative and technology transfer form China to emerging market countries along the belt and route.

Key words: the Belt and Road initiative, emerging market countries, technology transfer, difference in difference, policy evaluation