纵向行政约束下的事故灾难区域协同应对策略——以京津冀协同应对事故灾难为例

›› 2019, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (8): 240-249.

纵向行政约束下的事故灾难区域协同应对策略——以京津冀协同应对事故灾难为例

邱莹¹, 施先亮², 华国伟²

1. 北京石油化工学院经济管理学院, 北京 102617;
2. 北京交通大学经济管理学院, 北京 100019

收稿日期:2018-07-05 出版日期:2019-08-28 发布日期:2019-09-11
通讯作者: 施先亮(通讯作者),北京交通大学经济管理学院教授,博士生导师,博士
作者简介:邱莹,北京石油化工学院经济管理学院讲师,博士;华国伟,北京交通大学经济管理学院教授,博士生导师,博士。
基金资助:
北京市社会科学基金研究基地项目（17JDGLB015）。

Regional Cooperative Strategies for Emergency Response to Accidents and Disasters under Longitudinal Administrative Constraint——Case Study in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

Qiu Ying¹, Shi Xianliang², Hua Guowei²

1. School of Economics and Management, Beijing Institute of Petrochemical Technology, Beijing 102617;
2. School of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100019

Received:2018-07-05 Online:2019-08-28 Published:2019-09-11

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

随着我国城市化水平不断加快、城市规模进一步扩张，原本影响范围较小的事故灾难形成“跨界危机”，事故灾难的区域协同应对成为共识。本研究基于演化博弈理论，构建纵向行政约束下、事故灾难区域协同应对的策略选择模型，着力探讨纵向行政约束的影响，分析地方政府的策略选择及演化路径。结果表明：纵向行政约束越强，地方政府越趋向于做出事故灾难区域协同应对的策略选择，过小的纵向行政约束可能面对“失灵困境”；各地市经济发展水平、产业结构、应急资源储备与调度等差异影响地方政府协同应对事故灾难策略的达成。京津冀协同应对事故灾难工作的案例分析及数值仿真，验证上述研究结论。

关键词: 纵向行政约束, 事故灾难, 演化博弈, 区域协同应急

Abstract:

With the rapid urbanization and expanding cities, accidents and disasters turn to "transboundary crises", to which a consensus is reached that governments inside a specific region should conduct regional cooperative emergency response. Based on evolutionary game theory, the present paper sets up an adaptive strategy choice model with the longitudinal administrative constraint, with which the impacts of longitudinal administrative constraint are studied and the strategy choice and evolutionary path of regional governments are researched. The results are twofold:(1) stronger longitudinal administrative constraint leads to higher probabilities for the formation of the regional coping strategies to accidents and disasters. However, longitudinal administrative constraint may be faced with "malfunction dilemma" if the national government provides limited reward; (2) differences among local places of economy, economic structure and the reserve and dispatch of emergency resource should be taken into well consideration by national government to figure out the different roles acted by local governments. Case study and numerical simulation for the cooperation of administrations in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region to accidents and disasters verifies all the findings.

Key words: longitudinal administrative constraint, accidents and disasters, evolutionary game, regional cooperative management

邱莹, 施先亮, 华国伟. 纵向行政约束下的事故灾难区域协同应对策略——以京津冀协同应对事故灾难为例[J]. , 2019, 31(8): 240-249.

Qiu Ying, Shi Xianliang, Hua Guowei. Regional Cooperative Strategies for Emergency Response to Accidents and Disasters under Longitudinal Administrative Constraint——Case Study in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region[J]. , 2019, 31(8): 240-249.

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