›› 2019, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (6): 258-266.

• 公共管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

新农保对家庭劳动供给的非对称影响研究——基于McElroy-Horney纳什博弈模型

吕捷1, 林宇洁2   

  1. 1. 中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院, 北京 100872;
    2. 美国马里兰大学农业与资源经济系, 美国马里兰州 20742
  • 收稿日期:2018-12-13 出版日期:2019-06-28 发布日期:2019-07-08
  • 通讯作者: 林宇洁(通讯作者),美国马里兰大学农业与资源经济系博士研究生。
  • 作者简介:吕捷,中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院副教授,博士。

The Study of Asymmetric Impact of New Rural Insurance on Family Labor Supply——Based on McElroy-Horney Nash Game Model

Lyu Jie1, Lin Yujie2   

  1. 1. School of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Renmin University, Beijing 100872;
    2. Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Maryland, Maryland 20742
  • Received:2018-12-13 Online:2019-06-28 Published:2019-07-08

摘要:

本文基于家庭需求的纳什博弈模型以及双驱动变量的断点回归模型,研究新农村社会养老保险制度对家庭老人劳动供给的影响,发现新农保养老金收入不仅减少了受益人自身的劳动供给,还会对家庭中其他成员的劳动供给产生间接影响。此外新农保对劳动供给的影响存在非对称的"性别效应",男性老人领取养老金将会减少自身的劳动供给而增加配偶的劳动供给,而女性老人领取养老金会同时减少自身和配偶的劳动供给。本研究有助于明晰我国农村地区家庭内部资源分配机制,为探究人们面对小额非劳动收入时的劳动供给平滑行为、提升新农保政策的执行效果等提供了新的视角。

关键词: 新型农村社会养老保险, 家庭劳动力供给, McElroy-Horney纳什博弈模型

Abstract:

Based on the Nash game model of family demand and the breakpoint regression model of dual-drive variables, this paper studies the impact of the new rural social endowment insurance system on the labor supply of the elderly. It is found that the income of the new farm maintenance pension not only reduces the labor supply of the beneficiaries, but also has an indirect impact on the labor supply of other members of the family. And the impact of new rural insurance on labor supply has an asymmetric "gender effect". Male pensioners will reduce their labor supply and increase their spouse's labor supply, while female elderly pensions will reduce the labor supply of both their own and their spouses. This study helps to clarify the internal resource allocation mechanism of rural households in China, and provides a new perspective for exploring the smooth behavior of labor supply in the face of small non-labor income and the implementation effect of the new rural insurance policy.

Key words: new rural social endowment insurance, family labor supply, McElroy-Horney Nash game model