碳配额初始分配方式对我国省区宏观经济及行业竞争力的影响

›› 2015, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (12): 18-26.

碳配额初始分配方式对我国省区宏观经济及行业竞争力的影响

吴洁, 范英, 夏炎, 刘婧宇

中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所, 北京 100190

收稿日期:2015-04-16 出版日期:2015-12-30 发布日期:2015-12-25
作者简介:吴洁,中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所博士研究生;范英,中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所研究员,博士生导师,博士;夏炎,中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所副研究员,博士;刘婧宇,中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所,博士。
基金资助:
中国科学院先导专项(XDA05150700);国家自然科学基金项目(71210005;71203213;71573248)。

Impacts of Initial Quota Allocation on Regional Macro-economy and Industry Competitiveness

Wu Jie, Fan Ying, Xia Yan, Liu Jingyu

Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190

Received:2015-04-16 Online:2015-12-30 Published:2015-12-25

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

碳交易是中国应对气候变化的重要手段之一,当前碳交易试点已取得了积极进展,并计划逐步形成全国统一碳市场。初始配额的分配方式是碳交易机制设计的一个重点,本文通过中国多区域能源-环境-经济CGE模型——CE³MS模型的建立及其与碳交易模型的耦合,刻画了碳交易中交易主体的决策优化过程,分析了不同的初始配额分配方式下碳市场对各地区宏观经济及重点减排行业的影响。研究表明,在我国统一碳市场建立初期,能源行业配额免费发放、高耗能行业配额拍卖的混合分配方式是最优的分配方式。

关键词: 碳市场, 初始配额, 分配方式, CGE模型

Abstract:

Emissions trading is an important means to combat climate change in China and some carbon trading pilots have made positive progress, which aim to gradually form a unified national carbon markets. Initial quota allocation is a key point in emission trading scheme design. Through the establishment of a China multi-regional Energy-Environment-Economy CGE model-CE3MS which is combined with an emission trading module, this paper depicts the decision-making optimization of trading sectors in each region and analyzes regional macro-economic effects and industrial impacts of carbon market under different allocations. The research shows that in the early period of unified carbon market in China, a hybrid allocation of free allocation in energy sectors and full auction in energy-intensive sectors is the optimal way.

Key words: carbon market, initial quota, allocation method, CGE model

吴洁, 范英, 夏炎, 刘婧宇. 碳配额初始分配方式对我国省区宏观经济及行业竞争力的影响[J]. , 2015, 27(12): 18-26.

Wu Jie, Fan Ying, Xia Yan, Liu Jingyu. Impacts of Initial Quota Allocation on Regional Macro-economy and Industry Competitiveness[J]. , 2015, 27(12): 18-26.

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