北极环境治理响应复杂网络演化博弈仿真研究

›› 2017, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (2): 26-34.

北极环境治理响应复杂网络演化博弈仿真研究

范厚明^1,2, 李筱璇^1,2, 刘益迎¹, 牟向伟¹, 赵昌平^1,2

1. 大连海事大学交通运输管理学院, 大连 116026;
2. 大连海事大学战略管理与系统规划研究所, 大连 116026

收稿日期:2015-01-23 出版日期:2017-02-28 发布日期:2017-03-16
作者简介:范厚明,大连海事大学交通运输管理学院,战略管理与系统规划研究所博士生导师;李筱璇,大连海事大学交通运输管理学院,战略管理与系统规划研究所硕士研究生;刘益迎,大连海事大学交通运输管理学院博士研究生;牟向伟,大连海事大学交通运输管理学院讲师;赵昌平,大连海事大学交通运输管理学院,战略管理与系统规划研究所副教授。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目（61473053）；辽宁省社会科学规划基金重点项目（L16AGL004）。

Simulation Research on Evolutionary Games of the Arctic Environmental Governance Response Complex Network

Fan Houming^1,2, Li Xiaoxuan^1,2, Liu Yiying¹, Mu Xiangwei¹, Zhao Changping^1,2

1. Transportation Management College, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026;
2. Institute of Strategy Management and System Planning, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026

Received:2015-01-23 Online:2017-02-28 Published:2017-03-16

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 北极航线通航进程加快，使得威胁北极海洋环境的海上突发事件发生可能性增加，一旦这类事件发生必将引起环北极国家、观察员国家等声称对北极有权益的行为主体的响应，形成一个巨大的、多因素影响的、动态的北极环境治理响应复杂网络。本文基于复杂网络、公共物品演化博弈、系统仿真等理论方法，构建北极环境治理演化博弈模型，对响应复杂网络中国家间的合作行为进行研究，得出北极环境治理响应复杂网络中，长远效益和回报强度直接影响国家的收益函数，从而影响国家对北极环境治理的行为选择的结论。研究结果可丰富北极治理的相关理论研究，为中国参与北极环境治理及相关决策的制定提供参考。

关键词: 北极, 环境治理, 复杂网络, 公共物品演化博弈, 仿真

Abstract: The acceleration of the Arctic route navigation process increases the possibility of maritime incidents which directly threaten the Arctic marine environment. Such incidents definitely will arouse responses from the Arctic countries, observer-countries and other actors who claim to have interests in the Arctic region, all of whom thus form a giant and dynamic multiple-factor Arctic environmental governance response complex network. Based on complex network, public goods evolutionary game, simulation and other theoretical methods, this paper establishes an Arctic environmental governance evolutionary game model to study the cooperative behavior among the countries in the response complex network. It reaches a conclusion that the long-term benefits and return intensity affect the national revenue function directly in the network, which influences how a country acts on the Arctic environmental governance. The results can enrich related theoretical researches of Arctic governance, and provide reference for China's participation in the Arctic environmental governance and the relevant decision making.

Key words: Arctic, environmental governance, complex network, public goods evolutionary game, simulation

范厚明, 李筱璇, 刘益迎, 牟向伟, 赵昌平. 北极环境治理响应复杂网络演化博弈仿真研究[J]. , 2017, 29(2): 26-34.

Fan Houming, Li Xiaoxuan, Liu Yiying, Mu Xiangwei, Zhao Changping. Simulation Research on Evolutionary Games of the Arctic Environmental Governance Response Complex Network[J]. , 2017, 29(2): 26-34.

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