城乡就业相互拉动效应模型及实证分析

›› 2016, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (1): 3-10.

• 经济与金融管理 • 下一篇

城乡就业相互拉动效应模型及实证分析

王会娟¹, 曲双石², 陈锡康³

1. 中央财经大学统计与数学学院, 北京 100081;
2. 中国人民大学财政金融学院, 北京 100872;
3. 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院, 北京 100091

收稿日期:2013-09-13 出版日期:2016-01-30 发布日期:2016-02-01
作者简介:王会娟,中央财经大学统计与数学学院副教授,博士;曲双石,中国人民大学财政金融学院博士研究生;陈锡康,中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院研究员,博士生导师。
基金资助:
北京市社会科学基金项目(14JGB081);北京市社科联青年社科人才资助项目(2013SKL049)。

Model and Empirical Study on the Pulling-effect between Urban and Rural Employment

Wang Huijuan¹, Qu Shuangshi², Chen Xikang³

1. School of Statistic and Mathematics, Central Universtiy of Finance and Economics, Beijing 100081;
2. School of Finance, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872;
3. Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100091

Received:2013-09-13 Online:2016-01-30 Published:2016-02-01

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

本文将通过构建城乡就业群体乘数,旨在衡量城镇、乡村就业人员的相互影响关系,城乡就业群体乘数借鉴了宫泽乘数模型的概念,研究了城镇、乡村两大就业群体之间的相互影响关系。本文将着重于内部不同的就业群体之间直接拉动、完全拉动作用,为就业问题的研究开辟一条新途径。在理论模型的基础上,构建了2007年全国城乡就业投入占用产出模型,结果显示增加城镇就业带来的就业群体拉动作用最优,尤其是对乡村就业的拉动作用最大。

关键词: 城乡就业, 拉动效应, 乘数, 投入产出

Abstract:

In this paper, we construct urban and rural employment group multipliers. These multipliers draw lessons from the idea of Miyazawa multipliers model and researches the interrelationship of the employment groups in urban and rural area. This paper focuses on the direct and total employment coefficients between the different employment groups. It opens a new way to the research of employment. On the basis of theoretical model, we construct urban and rural employment input-occupation-output modes 2007, and the result shows that increasing urban employment should drive the biggest on employments, especially for the rural employment.

Key words: urban and rural employment, pulling-effect, multipliers, input-output

王会娟, 曲双石, 陈锡康. 城乡就业相互拉动效应模型及实证分析[J]. , 2016, 28(1): 3-10.

Wang Huijuan, Qu Shuangshi, Chen Xikang. Model and Empirical Study on the Pulling-effect between Urban and Rural Employment[J]. , 2016, 28(1): 3-10.

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城乡就业相互拉动效应模型及实证分析

Model and Empirical Study on the Pulling-effect between Urban and Rural Employment

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